Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.019888 0.021501 0.023183 0.025067 0.027121 0.029294 0.031768
2025-09-14 0.017097 0.019410 0.021952 0.024959 0.028426 0.032304 0.036982
2025-09-21 0.015148 0.017826 0.020886 0.024655 0.029185 0.034473 0.041140
2025-09-28 0.013914 0.016857 0.020331 0.024750 0.030250 0.036899 0.045600
2025-10-05 0.012849 0.015956 0.019723 0.024654 0.030973 0.038852 0.049497
2025-10-12 0.012056 0.015303 0.019337 0.024750 0.031876 0.041008 0.053713
2025-10-19 0.011375 0.014727 0.018982 0.024825 0.032707 0.043065 0.057870
2025-10-26 0.010717 0.014126 0.018541 0.024731 0.033268 0.044754 0.061583
2025-11-02 0.010174 0.013636 0.018204 0.024734 0.033932 0.046581 0.065557
2025-11-09 0.009557 0.013006 0.017632 0.024365 0.034034 0.047602 0.068405
2025-11-16 0.008969 0.012378 0.017025 0.023900 0.033954 0.048330 0.070832
2025-11-23 0.008519 0.011919 0.016623 0.023696 0.034221 0.049552 0.074037
2025-11-30 0.008087 0.011476 0.016239 0.023525 0.034568 0.050971 0.077735
2025-12-07 0.007698 0.011077 0.015902 0.023405 0.034987 0.052527 0.081761
2025-12-14 0.007294 0.010635 0.015474 0.023119 0.035124 0.053642 0.085138
2025-12-21 0.007025 0.010376 0.015301 0.023207 0.035837 0.055684 0.090136
2025-12-28 0.006730 0.010062 0.015028 0.023116 0.036253 0.057258 0.094440
2026-01-04 0.006501 0.009837 0.014877 0.023206 0.036954 0.059323 0.099694
2026-01-11 0.006283 0.009618 0.014721 0.023276 0.037619 0.061354 0.105006
2026-01-18 0.006044 0.009353 0.014479 0.023188 0.038008 0.062930 0.109600
2026-01-25 0.005840 0.009134 0.014299 0.023191 0.038544 0.064777 0.114792
2026-02-01 0.005575 0.008806 0.013926 0.022848 0.038461 0.065532 0.118002
2026-02-08 0.005308 0.008462 0.013513 0.022415 0.038194 0.065936 0.120567